# Where Did Three Percent Come From?

An AI scanned 778 of my public notes and found familiar AI-writing phrases in
seven. It then concluded that 3 percent of the corpus was AI slop, with 82
percent credence that the true figure lay between 1.5 and 6 percent.

The scan produced evidence. The answer never shows a path from that evidence to
those numbers.

The report also pulled the full corpus, found no short notes built mainly from
bullets, inspected stylistic tics, read a sample, and examined category and
length distributions. It looked at how the notes linked together and how they
were selected. Those checks make the judgment better informed. The route from
them to 3 percent remains undisclosed.

The report counted surface markers while its conclusion judged a larger
property: whether the writing was low-value generated material. Its explicit
count used notes. Its conclusion described weak sentences or short passages.
The phrase *AI slop* can itself refer to stock language, deceptive provenance,
low information for a particular reader, unwanted volume, or work nobody
seriously judged.

To reach one corpus-wide percentage, the evaluator still had to define that
property, choose a unit, label examples, show how the proxy checks predicted
those labels, explain how the parts became a whole, and account for the
credence range. No such bridge was disclosed.

The prompt had requested a percentage and high confidence. The response filled
those fields. It treated the requested answer type as evidence that an answer
of that type was available.

A requested answer type is a hypothesis about what the evidence can support.
The request itself supplies no evidence.

The evidence earned a narrower answer: the listed stock phrases were rare, the
checked list-heavy form was absent, and the sampled writing appeared structured
and heavily filtered. A personal impression could identify itself as an
impression. A black-box instrument could warrant precision through a
calibration record.

Those observations stand. Three percent remains unaccounted for.

Before debating the digits, ask what operation produced them.
